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ESTIMATION OF DEATH AND RECOVERY RATES USING COVID-19 DATA OF PAKISTAN

MUHAMMAD KASHİF, RİMSHA NASİR, HAFİZA NİDA, MUHAMMAD IMRAN KHAN

Eurasian Journal of Medicine and Oncology - 2021;5(1):43-53

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan

 

Objectives: The aim of this study is to estimate the recovery rate and death rate of the Covid-19 patients in Pakistan both at provincial level and at national level. Methods: In the current study simple linear regression model is used to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) and recovery rate (RR). Also, the polynomial regression model has been employed to predict the infected patients of Covid-19 across Pakistan and for all its provinces. Results: The results indicate that the provinces: Punjab, Sindh, KPK and ICT have been projected to be sensitive regarding COVID-19. Conclusion: it is strongly suggested that prevention must be considered, and full attention must be provided by each citizen to follow the SOPs recommend by health department. If responsible attitude will not be expressed by individuals, then there is chance of increase of COVID patients again and put the country back in struggle.